Estimation of Strong Ground Motions in Mexico City Expected for Large Earthquakes in the Guerrero Seismic Gap by Hiroo Kanamori,

نویسندگان

  • PAUL C. JENNINGS
  • SHRI KRISHNA
  • LUCIANA ASTIZ
چکیده

We performed simulations of ground motions in Mexico City expected for large earthquakes in the Guerrero seismic gap in Mexico. The simulation method uses as empirical Green's functions the accelerograms recorded in Mexico City during four small to moderate earthquakes (8 Feb. 1988, M s = 5.8; 25 April 1989, M w = 6.9; 11 May 1990, M w = 5.5; and 31 May 1990, Mw = 6.0) in the Guerrero gap. Because these events occurred in the Guerrero gap, and have typical thrust mechanisms, the propagation path and site effects can be accurately included in our simulation. Fault rupture patterns derived from the 1985 Michoacan earthquake and source scaling relations appropriate for Mexican subduction zone earthquakes are used. If the Guerrero event is similar to the 1985 Michoacan event, the resulting response spectrum in Mexico City will be approximately twice as large as that of the 1985 Michoacan earthquake at periods longer than 2 sec. At periods shorter than 2 sec, the amplitude will be 2 to 3 times larger than that for the Michoacan earthquake. If the events in the Guerrero seismic gap occur as a sequence of magnitude 7.5 to 7.8 events, as they did in the previous sequence around the turn of the century, the strong motion in Mexico City is estimated to be about half that experienced during the 1985 Michoacan earthquake at periods longer than 2 sec. However, several factors affect this estimate. The magnitude of the possible events has a significant range and, if a rupture sequence is such that it enhances ground-motion amplitude with constructive interference, as occurred during the second half of the Michoacan sequence, some components of the ground motion could be amplified by a factor of 2 to 3. To aid in the interpretation of the simulated motion for purposes of design or hazard assessment, design spectra for the CDAO site in Mexico City are derived from the response spectra of the simulated ground motions.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Estimation of Strong Ground Motions in Mexico City Expected for Large Earthquakes in the Guerrero Seismic Gap by Hiroo

We performed simulations of ground motions in Mexico City expected for large earthquakes in the Guerrero seismic gap in Mexico. The simulation method uses as empirical Green's functions the accelerograms recorded in Mexico City during four small to moderate earthquakes (8 Feb. 1988, M s = 5.8; 25 April 1989, M w = 6.9; 11 May 1990, M w = 5.5; and 31 May 1990, Mw = 6.0) in the Guerrero gap. Beca...

متن کامل

A Strong Ground Motion Catalogue of Selected Records for Shallow Crustal, Near Field Earthquakes in Iran

Understanding strong ground motions in the near-fault areas is important for seismic risk assessment in densely populated areas. In the past, lack of information on strong ground motion for large and moderate earthquakes led to the use of mainly far field large and moderate earthquake records in equations for calculation of the strong ground motion parameters. In this article, we collected and ...

متن کامل

Source Characteristics of Earthquakes in the Michoacan Seismic Gap in Mexico by Luciana Astiz, Hiroo Kanamori, and Holly Eissler

We investigated the source characteristics of large earthquakes which occurred in the Michoacan, Mexico, seismic gap during the period from 1981 to 1986 in relation to historical seismicity in the region. The rupture pattern of the Michoacan gap during this period can be characterized by a sequential failure of five distinct asperities. Before 1981, the Michoacan gap had not experienced a large...

متن کامل

Seismic Behavior of Jacket Offshore Platform Subjected to Near and Far Field Ground Motions

Offshore structures such as jacket platforms have to inevitably be designed against  sever  environmental actions. In seismically active areas these structures also become susceptible to earthquake excitations. Strong ground motions recorded  in recent earthquakes, including the 1995 Kobe, Japan, 1999 Chi-chi, Taiwan and 1999 Kocaeli, Turkey earthquakes, revealed that the dynamic motions in nea...

متن کامل

Factors Contributing to the Catastrophe in Mexico City during the Earthquake of September 19 , 1985

The extensive damage to high-rise buildings in Mexico City during the September 19, 1985 earthquake is primarily due to the intensity of the ground shaking exceeding what was previously considered credible for the city by Mexican engineers. There were two major factors contributing to the catastrophe, resonance in the sediments of an ancient lake that once existed in the Valley of Mexico, and t...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2005